Chinese Ban on Waste Paper Import May Improve Valuations of Indian paper Companies - Papermart
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Chinese Ban on Waste Paper Import May Improve Valuations of Indian paper Companies

China has stopped imports of several grades of waste paper as a part of campaign against foreign garbage, which has created shortage of raw material and impacted the paper production.

December 6, 2017

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Capacities close to 3 lakh tonnes per annum are shut down due to lack of environmental compliance. As a result, packaging paper prices, for instance, have shot up by 40 per cent to over 5,500 yuan per tonne since August, according to Bloomberg data.

Paper companies have reported double-digit earnings growth over the past two years. In addition, their balance sheets look lighter with reduced debt burden and improved leverage ratios. Yet, these changes do not seem to fully reflect in their stock valuations, which remain in single digits. However, the valuations may improve given the growth opportunity in the wake of rising paper prices due to shutdown of capacities in China.

China has stopped imports of several grades of waste paper as a part of campaign against foreign garbage, which has created shortage of raw material and impacted the paper production. Further capacities close to 3 lakh tonnes per annum are shut down due to lack of environmental compliance. As a result, packaging paper prices, for instance, have shot up by 40 per cent to over 5,500 yuan per tonne since August, according to Bloomberg data.

“This has led to paper suppliers from China and other countries, such as Indonesia, to either stop selling paper in India or sell at a higher price. We see a good momentum in the industry,” PS Patwari, CEO, Emami Paper Mills was quoted as saying in a report, adding, “India, which did not export paper to China, has now started exporting.”

Prices of imported paper have increased by 10 per cent in the past few weeks. “International paper prices have remained low for a very long time due to oversupply from China and Indonesia. We expect the current prices to sustain or even go up,” AS Mehta, president, JK Paper was quoted as saying in the same report.